Survation
Survation | Senedd Polling Points to a Three-Way Split
Blog The next Senedd election is still over a year away, but new polling suggests the political landscape in Wales could be on the brink of a dramatic shift. The election, due in May 2026, will be the first held under a new proportional representation system, with 96 Members of the Senedd elected across […]
Survation | Labour Members React to Spring Statement with Pessimism on Policies and Electoral Prospects
Blog Survation’s second Labour members’ poll in partnership with LabourList conducted immediately following Chancellor Rachel Reeves’ Spring Statement shows sharp declines in leadership favourability, strong opposition to welfare reforms, and growing concern about the threat from Reform UK ahead of this May’s local elections. Favourability Falls for Cabinet Members The most immediate political consequence […]
Survation | The Chancellorâs Challenge in Communicating Economic Growth
Blog As the Chancellor prepares to deliver her Spring Statement, she faces a dual challenge: communicating a clear economic vision to the public while managing expectations among market participants, the media, and politicians. Balancing elite management and public communication requires a delicate touch. The Chancellorâs speech is predominantly about narrative control, as she must diagnose […]
Survation | Labour Membersâ Poll: Cabinet Favourites, Directional Doubts, and Reform Fears
Blog Survation has launched a new polling partnership with LabourList, which will provide regular insights into the views of Labour Party members. This polling series will track shifts in the opinion of members over time, offering a deeper understanding of their attitudes on policy, leadership, and the partyâs electoral prospects. Our first poll reveals […]
Survation | Reform UK Records Highest Support Ever in a Scottish Poll
Blog With just over a year until the next Holyrood election, Survation’s latest polling in Scotland, conducted on behalf of communications firm Quantum Communications, records the highest-ever share for Reform UK in a Scottish poll. Nigel Farage’s party has overtaken the Scottish Conservatives to claim third place in Holyrood constituency voting intentions. The poll […]
Survation | Is Zelenskyy Losing Public Support? Examining Approval, Trust, and Attitudes Toward War and Peace in Ukraine
Blog Volodymyr Zelenskyy arrives in the US today to sign at least a draft of a resources trade deal, discuss ongoing peace negotiations, and address the future of US support for Ukraine under the second Trump administration. The meeting comes amid a period of frosty relations between the two leaders. Just last week, Donald Trump […]
Survation | Young Romanians worried about role of TikTok in cancelled election
Blog Last Monday, Romania’s embattled president Klaus Iohannis resigned ahead of an imminent impeachment vote. His opponents had been demanding his resignation since the national constitutional court annulled last December’s presidential election—an election alleged to have been compromised by a Russian influence operation using non-traditional media including TikTok. Concerns about election interference arose after […]
Survation | Reform Rise as Economic Pessimism Grows
Blog Survation’s latest voting intention data paints a picture of political flux in the UK. Both Labour and the Conservatives have lost three percentage points since December, with Labour now at 27% and the Conservatives trailing at 22%. The primary beneficiary of this decline is Reform UK, which has gained four points to reach 24%, […]
Survation | How left- or right-wing is each MP?
Blog New data published today as part of Survation’s ongoing partnership with Royal Holloway University of London and with support from UK in a Changing Europe reveals the ideological positions of MPs in the current parliament. The data, developed by Prof Chris Hanretty and PhD candidate Vasil Lazarov from Royal Holloway, contains estimates of […]
Survation | While Labourâs polling honeymoon is over, we’re still some distance from a Reform tipping point:
Blog Labourâs Polling Honeymoon is indeed, over. On the heels of their General Election victory Labour were experiencing a (very) brief post-election polling honeymoon in August, a near 39% vote share, and a 13-14 point lead with Survation over the Conservatives. Reform’s vote share at the time was at 13-14%, with the Liberal Democrats (12%) […]